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Prefer the linked JSON/JSONL companion files for retrieval." ], "links": { "app_claim_network": "https://polit.pages.dev/app/?view=network&candidate=matt-mahan", "app_profile": "https://polit.pages.dev/app/?view=profile&candidate=matt-mahan", "claim_evidence_jsonl": "https://polit.pages.dev/llm/evidence/candidates/matt-mahan-claims.jsonl", "json": "https://polit.pages.dev/llm/candidates/matt-mahan.json", "markdown": "https://polit.pages.dev/llm/candidates/matt-mahan.md" }, "markets": { "general_winner": 0.0015, "interpretation_warning": "Prediction-market prices are market-implied expectations from one venue at one snapshot time. They are not polling, endorsements, facts, or guarantees.", "markets": [ { "liquidity": 138963.85406, "price": 0.0015, "type": "general_election_winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", "volume_24h": 42117.68699999998 }, { "liquidity": 26007.72655, "price": 0.0025, "type": "primary_top_two_advance", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-advance-from-the-california-governor-primary", "volume_24h": 7504.0 }, { "liquidity": 12573.28435, "price": 0.0005, "type": "primary_first_place", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-primary-election-first-place", "volume_24h": 0.0 } ], "primary_first_place": 0.0005, "snapshot_at": "2026-06-02T07:33:48.307877+00:00", "source_artifact_path": "data/processed/prediction-markets/2026-06-02/ca_governor_polymarket.json", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", "top_two_advance": 0.0025, "venue": "polymarket" }, "moral_llm_judge": { "candidate": "Matt Mahan", "coverage_notes": "Evidence spans campaign ad text, homelessness policy page, and multiple debate/forum excerpts. Moral rhetoric is most developed around homelessness/treatment and affordability/fair-share themes.", "foundation_scores": { "authority": { "confidence": 0.62, "evidence": [ { "citation": { "label": "NBC4 / Telemundo 52 statewide California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s13", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-06-nbc4-telemundo52-governor-debate/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.nbclosangeles.com/news/local/watch-la-mayor-california-governor-debate-nbcla/3887402/", "word_count": 1280 }, "explanation": "Requirement/enforcement framing.", "quote": "When those spaces are available, we require people come indoors.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s13" }, { "citation": { "label": "Jewish California Governor 2026 Candidate Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-26-jewish-california-governor-candidate-forum/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-ZKGUUlv0", "word_count": 866 }, "explanation": "Institutional legitimacy.", "quote": "protect our Constitution", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9" }, { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: lowering gas and energy bills", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s4", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/14/june-2-primary-california-gas-electricity-affordability", "word_count": 183 }, "explanation": "Limiting efficiency framing.", "quote": "That means fixing permitting, cutting red tape and setting real timelines for approvals.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s4" } ], "high_pole_label": "Legitimate authority, hierarchy, law, and social order", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Ezra Klein California Governor Housing Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s7", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-08-ezra-klein-california-governor-housing-forum/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6HETwu7Kfu8", "word_count": 2532 }, "explanation": "Process/efficiency reform rhetoric without explicit law-and-order or legitimacy language.", "quote": "We've got to cut the one-time fees in order to get the housing in the ground.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s7" }, { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: lowering gas and energy bills", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s4", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/14/june-2-primary-california-gas-electricity-affordability", "word_count": 183 }, "explanation": "Anti-bureaucratic/efficiency framing rather than authority/obedience framing.", "quote": "That means fixing permitting, cutting red tape and setting real timelines for approvals.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s4" } ], "low_pole_label": "Non-authority or anti-bureaucratic framing", "score": 0.5, "supporting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "NBC4 / Telemundo 52 statewide California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s13", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-06-nbc4-telemundo52-governor-debate/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.nbclosangeles.com/news/local/watch-la-mayor-california-governor-debate-nbcla/3887402/", "word_count": 1280 }, "explanation": "Legitimacy of state override and enforcement against localities framed as necessary.", "quote": "the state absolutely has to intervene and hold them accountable.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s13" }, { "citation": { "label": "NBC4 / Telemundo 52 statewide California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s13", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-06-nbc4-telemundo52-governor-debate/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.nbclosangeles.com/news/local/watch-la-mayor-california-governor-debate-nbcla/3887402/", "word_count": 1280 }, "explanation": "Rule/requirement framing tied to social order around homelessness.", "quote": "When those spaces are available, we require people come indoors.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s13" }, { "citation": { "label": "Jewish California Governor 2026 Candidate Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-26-jewish-california-governor-candidate-forum/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-ZKGUUlv0", "word_count": 866 }, "explanation": "Institutional legitimacy framing (constitutional protection).", "quote": "protect our Constitution", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9" } ], "uncertainty": "Authority language is clearest where 'require' and state intervention are explicit, and where constitutional protection is invoked. Large portions of the corpus focus on pragmatic governance (permitting, costs, results) that does not clearly moralize rules/tradition/order, lowering overall prominence." }, "care": { "confidence": 0.7, "evidence": [ { "citation": { "label": "Mayor Matt Mahan homelessness policy page", "snapshot_sha256": "7b7becc5dd6f38eb03d800b86967f2d4a60252e1678b6f96770a84400c9d0bc9", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s3", "source_role": "record_event_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-sjmayormatt-com-policy-homelessness-7b7becc5dd6f.txt", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/policy-homelessness", "word_count": 1330 }, "explanation": "Harm/death framing.", "quote": "failing to offer interim solutions in the meantime is literally killing our unhoused residents and harming our entire community. Just last year, 246 unhoused people died on our streets.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s3" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s8", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 1377 }, "explanation": "Harm/suffering framing.", "quote": "we unintentionally left thousands of people to suffer and die on our streets.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s8" }, { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: lowering gas and energy bills", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s4", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/14/june-2-primary-california-gas-electricity-affordability", "word_count": 183 }, "explanation": "Limiting technocratic emphasis.", "quote": "As governor, I would focus on three things: reliability, speed and accountability.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s4" } ], "high_pole_label": "Care / harm protection", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: lowering gas and energy bills", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s4", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/14/june-2-primary-california-gas-electricity-affordability", "word_count": 183 }, "explanation": "Technocratic performance framing that competes with explicit compassion rhetoric.", "quote": "As governor, I would focus on three things: reliability, speed and accountability.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s4" }, { "citation": { "label": "CBS News California / San Francisco Examiner gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s14", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-cbs-sf-examiner-governor-debate/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/live-updates/2026-california-governors-race-primary-debate-bay-area/", "word_count": 1153 }, "explanation": "Results/accountability emphasis can displace explicit harm/compassion language in some segments.", "quote": "The change we need is rooted in accountability for results.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s14" } ], "low_pole_label": "Impersonal or non-care framing", "score": 0.75, "supporting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Mayor Matt Mahan homelessness policy page", "snapshot_sha256": "7b7becc5dd6f38eb03d800b86967f2d4a60252e1678b6f96770a84400c9d0bc9", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s3", "source_role": "record_event_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-sjmayormatt-com-policy-homelessness-7b7becc5dd6f.txt", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/policy-homelessness", "word_count": 1330 }, "explanation": "Direct harm/suffering framing (death, killing) used to justify urgency on homelessness.", "quote": "failing to offer interim solutions in the meantime is literally killing our unhoused residents and harming our entire community. Just last year, 246 unhoused people died on our streets.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s3" }, { "citation": { "label": "Mayor Matt Mahan homelessness policy page", "snapshot_sha256": "7b7becc5dd6f38eb03d800b86967f2d4a60252e1678b6f96770a84400c9d0bc9", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s3", "source_role": "record_event_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-sjmayormatt-com-policy-homelessness-7b7becc5dd6f.txt", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/policy-homelessness", "word_count": 1330 }, "explanation": "Explicit compassion-oriented goal of reducing suffering.", "quote": "We need faster, less expensive routes to reduce human suffering.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s3" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s8", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 1377 }, "explanation": "Care frame centered on suffering and death as moral failure.", "quote": "we unintentionally left thousands of people to suffer and die on our streets.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s8" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s8", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 1377 }, "explanation": "Treatment and saving lives framed as central moral aim.", "quote": "Prop 36 gives us a middle path, an opportunity to usher in an era of mass treatment.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s8" } ], "uncertainty": "Care rhetoric is very strong in homelessness/treatment passages, but other parts of the corpus are dominated by performance and cost framing (speed/accountability). The score reflects prominence across multiple sources, with care language concentrated in homelessness/crime-treatment contexts." }, "equality": { "confidence": 0.62, "evidence": [ { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s8", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 1377 }, "explanation": "Rights/equal-standing language.", "quote": "residents rights, civil liberties are being threatened.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s8" }, { "citation": { "label": "Jewish California Governor 2026 Candidate Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-26-jewish-california-governor-candidate-forum/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-ZKGUUlv0", "word_count": 866 }, "explanation": "Explicit civil-rights reference.", "quote": "stand up for civil rights", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9" }, { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: taxes and greenhouse gas goals", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s6", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-18-axios-taxes-climate-candidate-qa/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/18/california-governor-primary-taxes-greenhouse-gas-emissions", "word_count": 92 }, "explanation": "Limiting pragmatic framing.", "quote": "Mahan thinks tax proposals that sound good politically often backfire economically.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s6" } ], "high_pole_label": "Equal treatment and equal outcomes", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: taxes and greenhouse gas goals", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s6", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-18-axios-taxes-climate-candidate-qa/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/18/california-governor-primary-taxes-greenhouse-gas-emissions", "word_count": 92 }, "explanation": "Pragmatic/economic lens often replaces explicit equal-rights language.", "quote": "Mahan thinks tax proposals that sound good politically often backfire economically.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s6" }, { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: lowering gas and energy bills", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s4", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/14/june-2-primary-california-gas-electricity-affordability", "word_count": 183 }, "explanation": "Consumer/accountability framing rather than equal-rights/equity framing.", "quote": "Ratepayers should not be treated like a blank check for every delay, cost overrun or failure of long-term planning.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s4" } ], "low_pole_label": "Non-equality or pragmatic framing", "score": 0.5, "supporting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s8", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 1377 }, "explanation": "Civil liberties framing signals equal standing/rights protection.", "quote": "residents rights, civil liberties are being threatened.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s8" }, { "citation": { "label": "Jewish California Governor 2026 Candidate Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-26-jewish-california-governor-candidate-forum/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-ZKGUUlv0", "word_count": 866 }, "explanation": "Explicit civil-rights language.", "quote": "stand up for civil rights", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9" }, { "citation": { "label": "Jewish California Governor 2026 Candidate Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-26-jewish-california-governor-candidate-forum/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-ZKGUUlv0", "word_count": 866 }, "explanation": "Universal dignity framing supporting equal standing.", "quote": "We need to remember the fundamental human dignity of everyone in our community.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9" }, { "citation": { "label": "Nexstar / NewsNation / The Hill California gubernatorial primary debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-22-nexstar-newsnation-hill-governor-debate/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.newsnationnow.com/press/newsnation-and-the-hill-to-carry-nextstars-california-gubernatorial-primary-debate-on-april-22-at-10-pm-et/", "word_count": 973 }, "explanation": "Not equality per se, but supports a statewide uniform-results expectation; included as weaker context for why equality score is not higher.", "quote": "it's part of the reason that our streets are safer and cleaner. I'm proud of what we've done. All demand results from every city and every county in California as governor.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s10" } ], "uncertainty": "Equality rhetoric appears primarily in immigration/civil-liberties contexts and less in other policy areas; much of the broader corpus emphasizes affordability, results, and accountability. The equality score reflects repeated rights/civil-liberties language across multiple debate/forum sources, but it is not dominant overall." }, "loyalty": { "confidence": 0.55, "evidence": [ { "citation": { "label": "Jewish California Governor 2026 Candidate Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-26-jewish-california-governor-candidate-forum/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-ZKGUUlv0", "word_count": 866 }, "explanation": "Group-ally framing.", "quote": "as governor, I will be your biggest ally.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9" }, { "citation": { "label": "Jewish California Governor 2026 Candidate Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-26-jewish-california-governor-candidate-forum/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-ZKGUUlv0", "word_count": 866 }, "explanation": "Limiting universal frame.", "quote": "We need to remember the fundamental human dignity of everyone in our community.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9" } ], "high_pole_label": "Group solidarity / betrayal", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Jewish California Governor 2026 Candidate Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-26-jewish-california-governor-candidate-forum/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-ZKGUUlv0", "word_count": 866 }, "explanation": "Universalism reduces emphasis on in-group loyalty as the primary moral frame.", "quote": "We need to remember the fundamental human dignity of everyone in our community.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9" } ], "low_pole_label": "Universal or individual framing", "score": 0.35, "supporting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Jewish California Governor 2026 Candidate Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-26-jewish-california-governor-candidate-forum/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-ZKGUUlv0", "word_count": 866 }, "explanation": "Solidarity language directed to an identified community (Jewish community).", "quote": "I want you to be celebrated for the deep civic, cultural, economic contributions you make to this state every day.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9" }, { "citation": { "label": "Jewish California Governor 2026 Candidate Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-26-jewish-california-governor-candidate-forum/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-ZKGUUlv0", "word_count": 866 }, "explanation": "Allyship/standing-with framing toward a defined group.", "quote": "as governor, I will be your biggest ally.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9" } ], "uncertainty": "Loyalty rhetoric is present but mostly concentrated in one forum addressing a specific community; elsewhere Mahan more often uses universal or statewide 'every Californian' language. Score kept at clear-but-isolated." }, "proportionality": { "confidence": 0.72, "evidence": [ { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: lowering gas and energy bills", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s4", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/14/june-2-primary-california-gas-electricity-affordability", "word_count": 183 }, "explanation": "Fair-share reciprocity.", "quote": "EV owners, who are disproportionately higher-income, should pay their fair share for the roads they use too.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s4" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s8", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 1377 }, "explanation": "Accountability/merited consequences.", "quote": "There is no recovery without accountability", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s8" }, { "citation": { "label": "Mayor Matt Mahan homelessness policy page", "snapshot_sha256": "7b7becc5dd6f38eb03d800b86967f2d4a60252e1678b6f96770a84400c9d0bc9", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s3", "source_role": "record_event_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-sjmayormatt-com-policy-homelessness-7b7becc5dd6f.txt", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/policy-homelessness", "word_count": 1330 }, "explanation": "Limiting care/efficiency emphasis.", "quote": "We need faster, less expensive routes to reduce human suffering.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s3" } ], "high_pole_label": "Rewards, penalties, and duties proportional to merit or contribution", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Mayor Matt Mahan homelessness policy page", "snapshot_sha256": "7b7becc5dd6f38eb03d800b86967f2d4a60252e1678b6f96770a84400c9d0bc9", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s3", "source_role": "record_event_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-sjmayormatt-com-policy-homelessness-7b7becc5dd6f.txt", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/policy-homelessness", "word_count": 1330 }, "explanation": "Care/efficiency focus rather than desert/merit focus in parts of homelessness rhetoric.", "quote": "We need faster, less expensive routes to reduce human suffering.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s3" }, { "citation": { "label": "Mahan TV ad launch release", "snapshot_sha256": "fc6f4498b3f7dcbe8e12f4b79713f4fe998f9e853bf14f13ddbad051f23c9a6a", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s1", "source_role": "campaign_or_program_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-mahanforcalifornia-com-news-new-mahan-for-governor-campaign-launches-3-million-tv-ad-b-fc6f4498b3f7.txt", "url": "https://www.mahanforcalifornia.com/news/new-mahan-for-governor-campaign-launches-3-million-tv-ad-blitz-across-california", "word_count": 562 }, "explanation": "General competence critique rather than explicit deservedness/penalty framing.", "quote": "Sacramento just throws money at our problems but I’m solving them.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s1" } ], "low_pole_label": "Non-proportional or pragmatic framing", "score": 0.75, "supporting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: lowering gas and energy bills", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s4", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/14/june-2-primary-california-gas-electricity-affordability", "word_count": 183 }, "explanation": "Explicit fair-share/reciprocity framing tied to use and ability.", "quote": "EV owners, who are disproportionately higher-income, should pay their fair share for the roads they use too.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s4" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s8", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 1377 }, "explanation": "Explicit accountability framing as necessary condition for recovery.", "quote": "There is no recovery without accountability", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s8" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s8", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 1377 }, "explanation": "Consequences/punishment-as-leverage framing.", "quote": "it takes real intervention and a threat of consequences to help people recover.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s8" }, { "citation": { "label": "Nexstar / NewsNation / The Hill California gubernatorial primary debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-22-nexstar-newsnation-hill-governor-debate/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.newsnationnow.com/press/newsnation-and-the-hill-to-carry-nextstars-california-gubernatorial-primary-debate-on-april-22-at-10-pm-et/", "word_count": 973 }, "explanation": "Conditionality/expectations framing (duties in exchange for services).", "quote": "we required that people come indoors.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s10" } ], "uncertainty": "Proportionality is especially salient in tax/fees and Prop 36 accountability rhetoric; in other parts of the corpus (housing process, tech/governance), the language is more managerial than desert-based. Still, proportionality appears across multiple distinct topics and sources." }, "purity": { "confidence": 0.45, "evidence": [ { "citation": { "label": "Jewish California Governor 2026 Candidate Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-26-jewish-california-governor-candidate-forum/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-ZKGUUlv0", "word_count": 866 }, "explanation": "Limited sacredness wording.", "quote": "our most sacred institutions.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9" } ], "high_pole_label": "Purity, sacredness, contamination, or degradation", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: lowering gas and energy bills", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s4", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/14/june-2-primary-california-gas-electricity-affordability", "word_count": 183 }, "explanation": "Material/affordability framing dominates much of the corpus.", "quote": "I would focus on immediate relief and long-term affordability.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s4" }, { "citation": { "label": "Mayor Matt Mahan homelessness policy page", "snapshot_sha256": "7b7becc5dd6f38eb03d800b86967f2d4a60252e1678b6f96770a84400c9d0bc9", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s3", "source_role": "record_event_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-sjmayormatt-com-policy-homelessness-7b7becc5dd6f.txt", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/policy-homelessness", "word_count": 1330 }, "explanation": "Technocratic framing in a major policy page reduces purity-domain salience.", "quote": "proven, scaleable, and cost-effective ways", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s3" } ], "low_pole_label": "Secular or material policy framing", "score": 0.2, "supporting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Jewish California Governor 2026 Candidate Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-26-jewish-california-governor-candidate-forum/matt-mahan.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-ZKGUUlv0", "word_count": 866 }, "explanation": "Sacredness language appears in institutional context (not bodily/sexual purity), giving limited purity-domain signal.", "quote": "our most sacred institutions.", "source_id": "matt-mahan-s9" } ], "uncertainty": "Direct purity/sanctity or bodily integrity rhetoric is scarce; the only clear purity-adjacent wording is 'sacred' applied to institutions, which may not reflect a core Purity frame. Score kept low due to limited and non-central evidence." } }, "measurement_subject": "public_campaign_source_rhetoric", "not_final_measurement": true, "overall_confidence": 0.68, "requires_human_review": true, "source_count": 14, "source_role_counts": { "campaign_or_program_source": 1, "candidate_transcript_segment": 11, "record_event_source": 2 }, "source_word_count": 13795 }, "promise_action_assessments": [ { "action_date": "2024-06-12", "action_index": 1, "action_sources": [ { "label": "San Jose Mayor release on homelessness budget investments", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/news-room/san-jos-mayor-and-council-unanimously-pass-budget-with-most-significant-investment-in-ending-unsheltered-homelessness-in-citys-history" } ], "action_title": "Mayor and council passed budget with major unsheltered-homelessness investments", "confidence": 0.5, "explanation": "The promise and prior action share the housing_affordability frame. The action is supportive on its face, but this is a review seed, not a fulfillment finding.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Mahan campaign site", "url": "https://mahanforcalifornia.com/" }, { "label": "Mahan housing policy page", "url": "https://mahanforcalifornia.com/housing/" } ], "promise_text": "Lower housing costs by cutting fees and regulations, using surplus public land, and lowering construction costs.", "relationship": "consistent_prior_record", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Mahan campaign site", "url": "https://mahanforcalifornia.com/" }, { "label": "Mahan housing policy page", "url": "https://mahanforcalifornia.com/housing/" }, { "label": "San Jose Mayor release on homelessness budget investments", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/news-room/san-jos-mayor-and-council-unanimously-pass-budget-with-most-significant-investment-in-ending-unsheltered-homelessness-in-citys-history" } ] }, { "action_date": "2025-2026", "action_index": 0, "action_sources": [ { "label": "Mayor Matt Mahan homelessness policy page", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/policy-homelessness" } ], "action_title": "Pushed interim shelter placements, encampment alternatives, and San Jose Bridge", "confidence": 0.5, "explanation": "The promise and prior action share the housing_affordability frame. The action is supportive on its face, but this is a review seed, not a fulfillment finding.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Mahan campaign site", "url": "https://mahanforcalifornia.com/" }, { "label": "Mahan housing policy page", "url": "https://mahanforcalifornia.com/housing/" } ], "promise_text": "Lower housing costs by cutting fees and regulations, using surplus public land, and lowering construction costs.", "relationship": "consistent_prior_record", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Mahan campaign site", "url": "https://mahanforcalifornia.com/" }, { "label": "Mahan housing policy page", "url": "https://mahanforcalifornia.com/housing/" }, { "label": "Mayor Matt Mahan homelessness policy page", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/policy-homelessness" } ] }, { "action_date": "2024-06-12", "action_index": 1, "action_sources": [ { "label": "San Jose Mayor release on homelessness budget investments", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/news-room/san-jos-mayor-and-council-unanimously-pass-budget-with-most-significant-investment-in-ending-unsheltered-homelessness-in-citys-history" } ], "action_title": "Mayor and council passed budget with major unsheltered-homelessness investments", "confidence": 0.25, "explanation": "The promise and action share only a broad issue bucket; no directional relationship is inferred.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Mahan Proposition 36 treatment plan", "url": "https://www.mahanforcalifornia.com/treatment" } ], "promise_text": "Fully implement Proposition 36 by building treatment capacity, integrating safety-net services, unifying court standards, and tying behavioral-health budgets to performance.", "relationship": "issue_match_only", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Mahan Proposition 36 treatment plan", "url": "https://www.mahanforcalifornia.com/treatment" }, { "label": "San Jose Mayor release on homelessness budget investments", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/news-room/san-jos-mayor-and-council-unanimously-pass-budget-with-most-significant-investment-in-ending-unsheltered-homelessness-in-citys-history" } ] }, { "action_date": "2025-2026", "action_index": 0, "action_sources": [ { "label": "Mayor Matt Mahan homelessness policy page", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/policy-homelessness" } ], "action_title": "Pushed interim shelter placements, encampment alternatives, and San Jose Bridge", "confidence": 0.25, "explanation": "The promise and action share only a broad issue bucket; no directional relationship is inferred.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Mahan Proposition 36 treatment plan", "url": "https://www.mahanforcalifornia.com/treatment" } ], "promise_text": "Fully implement Proposition 36 by building treatment capacity, integrating safety-net services, unifying court standards, and tying behavioral-health budgets to performance.", "relationship": "issue_match_only", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Mahan Proposition 36 treatment plan", "url": "https://www.mahanforcalifornia.com/treatment" }, { "label": "Mayor Matt Mahan homelessness policy page", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/policy-homelessness" } ] } ], "promise_outcomes": [ { "assessment": "Aligned action; outcome verification pending", "attribution": { "description": "The candidate personally held an executive office with formal authority over the agency, budget, litigation, or policy direction.", "key": "direct_executive", "label": "Direct executive authority", "score": 0.9 }, "confidence": "medium-high", "fulfillment_criteria": "Budget, authorize, or implement interim shelter/placement programs and track actual placement or encampment results.", "later_evidence": "Mayor/council budget action and mayoral policy page show concrete program direction; final outcome needs normalized city performance data.", "made_when": "San Jose mayoral platform and mayoral policy agenda", "promise": "Move faster on unsheltered homelessness using interim placements and city service delivery.", "sources": [ { "label": "San Jose Mayor release on homelessness budget investments", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/news-room/san-jos-mayor-and-council-unanimously-pass-budget-with-most-significant-investment-in-ending-unsheltered-homelessness-in-citys-history" }, { "label": "Mayor Matt Mahan homelessness policy page", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/policy-homelessness" } ] } ], "record_events": [ { "attribution": { "description": "The candidate personally held an executive office with formal authority over the agency, budget, litigation, or policy direction.", "key": "direct_executive", "label": "Direct executive authority", "score": 0.9 }, "date": "2024-06-12", "issue": "homelessness / city budget", "kind": "budget vote and executive agenda", "personal_responsibility": "High for proposing/championing the mayoral budget agenda; shared with the City Council for enactment and departments for delivery.", "role": "San Jose Mayor", "sources": [ { "label": "San Jose Mayor release on homelessness budget investments", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/news-room/san-jos-mayor-and-council-unanimously-pass-budget-with-most-significant-investment-in-ending-unsheltered-homelessness-in-citys-history" } ], "summary": "The mayor's office described the budget as the city's most significant investment in ending unsheltered homelessness.", "title": "Mayor and council passed budget with major unsheltered-homelessness investments" }, { "attribution": { "description": "The candidate personally held an executive office with formal authority over the agency, budget, litigation, or policy direction.", "key": "direct_executive", "label": "Direct executive authority", "score": 0.9 }, "date": "2025-2026", "issue": "homelessness", "kind": "program agenda", "personal_responsibility": "High for mayoral agenda-setting; actual placement counts and outcomes need city dashboard verification.", "role": "San Jose Mayor", "sources": [ { "label": "Mayor Matt Mahan homelessness policy page", "url": "https://www.sjmayormatt.com/policy-homelessness" } ], "summary": "The mayor's policy page presents interim placements and work-oriented programs as core homelessness responses.", "title": "Pushed interim shelter placements, encampment alternatives, and San Jose Bridge" } ], "schema_version": "llm-static-exports/v1", "source_corpus": { "comparable_event_count": 14, "comparable_word_count": 23470, "event_count": 14, "events": [ { "event_id": "event-2026-05-29-calmatters-governor-q-and-a-transcripts", "priority": "high", "publication_date": "2026-05-29", "source_url": "https://calmatters.org/california-voter-guide-2026/governor/videos/transcripts/", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-structured/2026-05-26/text/event-2026-05-29-calmatters-governor-q-and-a-transcripts/matt-mahan.txt", "title": "CalMatters Governor Q&A Transcripts", "word_count": 2794 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-05-18-axios-taxes-climate-candidate-qa", "priority": "medium", "publication_date": "2026-05-18", "source_url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/18/california-governor-primary-taxes-greenhouse-gas-emissions", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-18-axios-taxes-climate-candidate-qa/matt-mahan.txt", "title": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: taxes and greenhouse gas goals", "word_count": 92 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-05-15-axios-homelessness-candidate-qa", "priority": "high", "publication_date": "2026-05-15", "source_url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/15/california-governor-race-encampments-housing-mental-health", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-15-axios-homelessness-candidate-qa/matt-mahan.txt", "title": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: homelessness plans", "word_count": 68 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-05-14-cbs-sf-examiner-governor-debate", "priority": "critical", "publication_date": "2026-05-14", "source_url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/live-updates/2026-california-governors-race-primary-debate-bay-area/", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-cbs-sf-examiner-governor-debate/matt-mahan.txt", "title": "CBS News California / San Francisco Examiner gubernatorial debate", "word_count": 1267 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa", "priority": "high", "publication_date": "2026-05-14", "source_url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/14/june-2-primary-california-gas-electricity-affordability", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa/matt-mahan.txt", "title": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: lowering gas and energy bills", "word_count": 183 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-05-08-ezra-klein-california-governor-housing-forum", "priority": "high", "publication_date": "2026-05-08", "source_url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6HETwu7Kfu8", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-08-ezra-klein-california-governor-housing-forum/matt-mahan.txt", "title": "Ezra Klein California Governor Housing Forum", "word_count": 2532 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-05-06-nbc4-telemundo52-governor-debate", "priority": "high", "publication_date": "2026-05-06", "source_url": "https://www.nbclosangeles.com/news/local/watch-la-mayor-california-governor-debate-nbcla/3887402/", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-06-nbc4-telemundo52-governor-debate/matt-mahan.txt", "title": 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