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California Association of Realtors" }, { "amount": 5000000.0, "bucket": "real_estate_housing", "contributor": "California Building Industry Association PAC" }, { "amount": 250.0, "bucket": "real_estate_housing", "contributor": "Michael Shum" }, { "amount": 5000.0, "bucket": "tech_venture", "contributor": "David Rusenko" }, { "amount": 250.0, "bucket": "tech_venture", "contributor": "Thomas Charlet" }, { "amount": 200.0, "bucket": "tech_venture", "contributor": "Justin Harringa" }, { "amount": 200.0, "bucket": "tribal", "contributor": "Brian Estenson" } ] }, "generated_at": "2026-06-02T08:01:06.314093+00:00", "limitations": [ "This is a research prototype, not a voter guide, endorsement, or final assessment.", "Many rows are model-generated or unreviewed and should be treated as evidence-navigation aids.", "Missing or limited coverage means the dataset has not ingested, normalized, or balanced that surface yet; it is not evidence that a candidate lacks activity there.", "Use source URLs and record IDs when citing claims. Prefer the linked JSON/JSONL companion files for retrieval." ], "links": { "app_claim_network": "https://polit.pages.dev/app/?view=network&candidate=tom-steyer", "app_profile": "https://polit.pages.dev/app/?view=profile&candidate=tom-steyer", "claim_evidence_jsonl": "https://polit.pages.dev/llm/evidence/candidates/tom-steyer-claims.jsonl", "json": "https://polit.pages.dev/llm/candidates/tom-steyer.json", "markdown": "https://polit.pages.dev/llm/candidates/tom-steyer.md" }, "markets": { "general_winner": 0.1585, "interpretation_warning": "Prediction-market prices are market-implied expectations from one venue at one snapshot time. They are not polling, endorsements, facts, or guarantees.", "markets": [ { "liquidity": 115148.69445, "price": 0.1585, "type": "general_election_winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", "volume_24h": 43475.00587199999 }, { "liquidity": 18067.1394, "price": 0.305, "type": "primary_top_two_advance", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-advance-from-the-california-governor-primary", "volume_24h": 47660.15076099999 }, { "liquidity": 36378.70513, "price": 0.0415, "type": "primary_first_place", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-primary-election-first-place", "volume_24h": 63093.591326999995 } ], "primary_first_place": 0.0415, "snapshot_at": "2026-06-02T07:33:48.307877+00:00", "source_artifact_path": "data/processed/prediction-markets/2026-06-02/ca_governor_polymarket.json", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", "top_two_advance": 0.305, "venue": "polymarket" }, "moral_llm_judge": { "candidate": "Tom Steyer", "coverage_notes": "Evidence spans campaign pages, multiple debates, and a long town hall transcript. Dominant moral frames are Care (healthcare, homelessness, affordability) and Proportionality (fair share, polluters pay, anti-loopholes), with Equality most visible in anti-profiling/ICE contexts.", "foundation_scores": { "authority": { "confidence": 0.55, "evidence": [ { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: lowering gas and energy bills", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/14/june-2-primary-california-gas-electricity-affordability", "word_count": 122 }, "explanation": "Limiting market/competition frame.", "quote": "break up monopoly power and create competition", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s9" } ], "high_pole_label": "Legitimate authority, hierarchy, law, and social order", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "KQED / PBS SoCal California Gubernatorial Election Town Hall: Tom Steyer", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s8", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-web/2026-05-26/text/event-2026-05-28-kqed-tom-steyer-governor-town-hall.txt", "url": "https://www.pbssocal.org/shows/california-gubernatorial-election-town-hall-2026/episodes/tom-steyer-zrvnio", "word_count": 9314 }, "explanation": "Pragmatic/interest-based framing downplays moralized legitimacy/hierarchy language.", "quote": "They're pursuing an interest", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s8" }, { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: lowering gas and energy bills", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/14/june-2-primary-california-gas-electricity-affordability", "word_count": 122 }, "explanation": "Anti-monopoly market-structure framing rather than rule/tradition/obedience framing.", "quote": "break up monopoly power and create competition", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s9" } ], "low_pole_label": "Non-authority or anti-bureaucratic framing", "score": 0.35, "supporting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: lowering gas and energy bills", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/14/june-2-primary-california-gas-electricity-affordability", "word_count": 122 }, "explanation": "Limiting market/competition frame.", "quote": "break up monopoly power and create competition", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s9" } ], "uncertainty": "Authority rhetoric is strongest when Steyer discusses legal accountability for ICE and enforcing state law. Elsewhere, his dominant framing is anti-monopoly, affordability, and care/rights. Authority is present but not consistently dominant. Score capped below repeated-corpus level because direct support is concentrated in one source." }, "care": { "confidence": 0.72, "evidence": [ { "citation": { "label": "CBS News California / San Francisco Examiner gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s19", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-cbs-sf-examiner-governor-debate/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/live-updates/2026-california-governors-race-primary-debate-bay-area/", "word_count": 2340 }, "explanation": "Care/hardship framing.", "quote": "families have to choose between FOOD ON THE TABLE AND SEEING A DOCTOR.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s19" }, { "citation": { "label": "CBS California / Pomona College Governor's Debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s16", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-28-cbs-california-pomona-governor-debate/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ikN8crwsFM", "word_count": 1035 }, "explanation": "Harm-prevention framing.", "quote": "Nobody gets well on the street.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s16" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s13", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 1189 }, "explanation": "Limiting technocratic note.", "quote": "if you can't measure it, you can't manage it.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s13" } ], "high_pole_label": "Care / harm protection", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s13", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 1189 }, "explanation": "Managerial/accountability framing can displace care rhetoric in governance sections.", "quote": "if you can't measure it, you can't manage it.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s13" } ], "low_pole_label": "Impersonal or non-care framing", "score": 0.75, "supporting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "CBS News California / San Francisco Examiner gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s19", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-cbs-sf-examiner-governor-debate/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/live-updates/2026-california-governors-race-primary-debate-bay-area/", "word_count": 2340 }, "explanation": "Explicit compassion/health-care-as-need framing emphasizing harm to families.", "quote": "I WILL GET SINGLE PAYER HEALTH CARE BECAUSE IT'S NOT RIGHT THAT FAMILIES HAVE TO CHOOSE BETWEEN FOOD ON THE TABLE AND SEEING A DOCTOR.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s19" }, { "citation": { "label": "Steyer housing issue page", "snapshot_sha256": "317b59d978dc4618c397c0a00d85f7deefe1f020abb8af3b6ed733c5771e6c01", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s3", "source_role": "campaign_or_program_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-tomsteyer-com-issues-housing-317b59d978dc.txt", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/issues/housing", "word_count": 3490 }, "explanation": "Belonging/community welfare framing linked to housing.", "quote": "A home connects you to community and it gives you belonging.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s3" }, { "citation": { "label": "CBS California / Pomona College Governor's Debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s16", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-28-cbs-california-pomona-governor-debate/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ikN8crwsFM", "word_count": 1035 }, "explanation": "Harm/prevention framing for homelessness.", "quote": "Nobody gets well on the street.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s16" }, { "citation": { "label": "KQED / PBS SoCal California Gubernatorial Election Town Hall: Tom Steyer", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s8", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-web/2026-05-26/text/event-2026-05-28-kqed-tom-steyer-governor-town-hall.txt", "url": "https://www.pbssocal.org/shows/california-gubernatorial-election-town-hall-2026/episodes/tom-steyer-zrvnio", "word_count": 9314 }, "explanation": "Concern for suffering/struggle framed as moral problem.", "quote": "the working people of this state are struggling way more than fair and they're not getting served the way they should.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s8" } ], "uncertainty": "Care framing is prominent in health care, homelessness, and affordability narratives across multiple sources, but Steyer also frequently shifts into structural/managerial and anti-monopoly rhetoric. Score reflects repeated and often central care language." }, "equality": { "confidence": 0.63, "evidence": [ { "citation": { "label": "Nexstar / NewsNation / The Hill California gubernatorial primary debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s15", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-22-nexstar-newsnation-hill-governor-debate/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.newsnationnow.com/press/newsnation-and-the-hill-to-carry-nextstars-california-gubernatorial-primary-debate-on-april-22-at-10-pm-et/", "word_count": 1116 }, "explanation": "Anti-discrimination/equal protection.", "quote": "racial profiling is illegal.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s15" }, { "citation": { "label": "Nexstar / NewsNation / The Hill California gubernatorial primary debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s15", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-22-nexstar-newsnation-hill-governor-debate/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.newsnationnow.com/press/newsnation-and-the-hill-to-carry-nextstars-california-gubernatorial-primary-debate-on-april-22-at-10-pm-et/", "word_count": 1116 }, "explanation": "Equal treatment.", "quote": "picking on people based on the color of their skin in the state of California is illegal.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s15" }, { "citation": { "label": "Ezra Klein California Governor Housing Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s12", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-08-ezra-klein-california-governor-housing-forum/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6HETwu7Kfu8", "word_count": 2482 }, "explanation": "Limiting implementation/incentives frame.", "quote": "you do it, you get the money. You don't do it, you don't get the money.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s12" } ], "high_pole_label": "Equal treatment and equal outcomes", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Ezra Klein California Governor Housing Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s12", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-08-ezra-klein-california-governor-housing-forum/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6HETwu7Kfu8", "word_count": 2482 }, "explanation": "Incentive/implementation framing rather than equal-rights framing.", "quote": "Money is actually how we're going to get this done. Because the answer is going to be, you do it, you get the money. You don't do it, you don't get the money.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s12" }, { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: lowering gas and energy bills", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/14/june-2-primary-california-gas-electricity-affordability", "word_count": 122 }, "explanation": "Regulatory/price-control focus without explicit equality language.", "quote": "establish a hard legal ceiling on exactly how much profit refineries are allowed to make off a gallon of gas.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s9" } ], "low_pole_label": "Non-equality or pragmatic framing", "score": 0.5, "supporting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Nexstar / NewsNation / The Hill California gubernatorial primary debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s15", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-22-nexstar-newsnation-hill-governor-debate/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.newsnationnow.com/press/newsnation-and-the-hill-to-carry-nextstars-california-gubernatorial-primary-debate-on-april-22-at-10-pm-et/", "word_count": 1116 }, "explanation": "Equal protection / anti-discrimination framing.", "quote": "racial profiling is illegal.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s15" }, { "citation": { "label": "Nexstar / NewsNation / The Hill California gubernatorial primary debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s15", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-22-nexstar-newsnation-hill-governor-debate/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.newsnationnow.com/press/newsnation-and-the-hill-to-carry-nextstars-california-gubernatorial-primary-debate-on-april-22-at-10-pm-et/", "word_count": 1116 }, "explanation": "Explicit discrimination/equal treatment language.", "quote": "picking on people based on the color of their skin in the state of California is illegal.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s15" }, { "citation": { "label": "Steyer campaign home page", "snapshot_sha256": "e4f91a9cd768d7c35b18e892c262921e75365c0541f87c7b996343493c3c3006", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s1", "source_role": "campaign_or_program_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-tomsteyer-com-e4f91a9cd768.txt", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/", "word_count": 748 }, "explanation": "Equity-adjacent framing about shifting burdens to improve public services; weaker equality signal but part of equal-opportunity framing.", "quote": "Make corporations pay their fair share, and put that money into our public schools", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s1" } ], "uncertainty": "Equality language is strongest in ICE/racial profiling discussions; other major themes (housing production, monopoly power, taxation) are more about costs and power than equal standing. The equality score reflects repeated explicit anti-profiling language, but it is not as dominant as care or proportionality." }, "loyalty": { "confidence": 0.56, "evidence": [ { "citation": { "label": "Nexstar / NewsNation / The Hill California gubernatorial primary debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s15", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-22-nexstar-newsnation-hill-governor-debate/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.newsnationnow.com/press/newsnation-and-the-hill-to-carry-nextstars-california-gubernatorial-primary-debate-on-april-22-at-10-pm-et/", "word_count": 1116 }, "explanation": "Coalitional loyalty.", "quote": "Progressives, environmentalists, organized labor, including teachers and nurses.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s15" }, { "citation": { "label": "Steyer AI issue page", "snapshot_sha256": "312dd81d491588f7492e9f2dd173ea0daea981d99c31bbf75e16f92a144374a2", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s4", "source_role": "campaign_or_program_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-tomsteyer-com-issues-ai-policy-312dd81d4915.txt", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/issues/ai-policy", "word_count": 793 }, "explanation": "Limiting because it is universal/team framing rather than bounded in-group.", "quote": "we win as a team – or not at all.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s4" } ], "high_pole_label": "Group solidarity / betrayal", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Steyer AI issue page", "snapshot_sha256": "312dd81d491588f7492e9f2dd173ea0daea981d99c31bbf75e16f92a144374a2", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s4", "source_role": "campaign_or_program_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-tomsteyer-com-issues-ai-policy-312dd81d4915.txt", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/issues/ai-policy", "word_count": 793 }, "explanation": "This is collective language, but it is broad/universal rather than in-group vs out-group; limits a stricter loyalty interpretation.", "quote": "we win as a team – or not at all.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s4" } ], "low_pole_label": "Universal or individual framing", "score": 0.35, "supporting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Nexstar / NewsNation / The Hill California gubernatorial primary debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s15", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-22-nexstar-newsnation-hill-governor-debate/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.newsnationnow.com/press/newsnation-and-the-hill-to-carry-nextstars-california-gubernatorial-primary-debate-on-april-22-at-10-pm-et/", "word_count": 1116 }, "explanation": "Coalitional in-group solidarity framing.", "quote": "Let me tell you who supports me. Progressives, environmentalists, organized labor, including teachers and nurses.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s15" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s13", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 1189 }, "explanation": "Standing-with working-class/union groups.", "quote": "I've got the nurses. I've got the bus drivers. I've got the ta cafeteria workers. I've got the custodians.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s13" } ], "uncertainty": "Loyalty signals mostly take the form of coalition identification (labor, environmentalists) rather than sustained in-group vs out-group moralization. Much of Steyer's rhetoric is universal ('working Californians') and anti-corporate rather than group-allegiance-based." }, "proportionality": { "confidence": 0.72, "evidence": [ { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: taxes and greenhouse gas goals", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s11", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-18-axios-taxes-climate-candidate-qa/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/18/california-governor-primary-taxes-greenhouse-gas-emissions", "word_count": 81 }, "explanation": "Fair-share proportionality.", "quote": "working people pay their fair share.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s11" }, { "citation": { "label": "Ezra Klein California Governor Housing Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s12", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-08-ezra-klein-california-governor-housing-forum/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6HETwu7Kfu8", "word_count": 2482 }, "explanation": "Limiting technocratic frame.", "quote": "use finance much more aggressively to drive down the cost of housing.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s12" } ], "high_pole_label": "Rewards, penalties, and duties proportional to merit or contribution", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Ezra Klein California Governor Housing Forum", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s12", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-08-ezra-klein-california-governor-housing-forum/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6HETwu7Kfu8", "word_count": 2482 }, "explanation": "Technocratic financial-instrument framing not explicitly about deservedness or punishment.", "quote": "we need to use finance much more aggressively to drive down the cost of housing.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s12" }, { "citation": { "label": "Steyer housing issue page", "snapshot_sha256": "317b59d978dc4618c397c0a00d85f7deefe1f020abb8af3b6ed733c5771e6c01", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s3", "source_role": "campaign_or_program_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-tomsteyer-com-issues-housing-317b59d978dc.txt", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/issues/housing", "word_count": 3490 }, "explanation": "Universal-needs framing reduces emphasis on proportional deserts.", "quote": "We must build every type of home to meet the needs of every Californian", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s3" } ], "low_pole_label": "Non-proportional or pragmatic framing", "score": 0.75, "supporting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Steyer campaign home page", "snapshot_sha256": "e4f91a9cd768d7c35b18e892c262921e75365c0541f87c7b996343493c3c3006", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s1", "source_role": "campaign_or_program_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-tomsteyer-com-e4f91a9cd768.txt", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/", "word_count": 748 }, "explanation": "Explicit fair-share/deserved-burden framing.", "quote": "Make corporations pay their fair share", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s1" }, { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: taxes and greenhouse gas goals", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s11", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-18-axios-taxes-climate-candidate-qa/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/18/california-governor-primary-taxes-greenhouse-gas-emissions", "word_count": 81 }, "explanation": "Cheating/loophole exploitation contrasted with fair contribution.", "quote": "the wealthy exploit loopholes while working people pay their fair share.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s11" }, { "citation": { "label": "Tom Steyer climate issue page", "snapshot_sha256": "561d45a4e0a202e052be50b050a47a96d08284b4163bf904d762af854cdecf96", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s5", "source_role": "campaign_or_program_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-tomsteyer-com-issues-climate-561d45a4e0a2.txt", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/issues/climate", "word_count": 578 }, "explanation": "Desert/accountability framing assigning costs to responsible parties.", "quote": "Make polluters pay", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s5" } ], "uncertainty": "Proportionality is central to Steyer's repeated 'fair share' and 'polluters pay' rhetoric across campaign pages and debates, but parts of the housing plan are framed in universal provision and financial engineering rather than explicit deservedness." }, "purity": { "confidence": 0.4, "evidence": [], "high_pole_label": "Purity, sacredness, contamination, or degradation", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: lowering gas and energy bills", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tom-steyer-s9", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa/tom-steyer.txt", "url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/14/june-2-primary-california-gas-electricity-affordability", "word_count": 122 }, "explanation": "Economic harm/market-power framing rather than purity/sacredness.", "quote": "manufacturing supply shortages and rigging gas prices at the expense of working families.", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s9" }, { "citation": { "label": "Tom Steyer climate issue page", "snapshot_sha256": "561d45a4e0a202e052be50b050a47a96d08284b4163bf904d762af854cdecf96", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s5", "source_role": "campaign_or_program_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-tomsteyer-com-issues-climate-561d45a4e0a2.txt", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/issues/climate", "word_count": 578 }, "explanation": "Health/affordability framing; no purity/sacredness or contamination language.", "quote": "Good climate policy will make life for Californians not only healthier but more affordable", "source_id": "tom-steyer-s5" } ], "low_pole_label": "Secular or material policy framing", "score": 0.0, "supporting_examples": [], "uncertainty": "No direct excerpts in the supplied corpus use purity/sanctity, religious framing, contamination/degradation, or bodily-integrity moralization in a way that cleanly fits the Purity foundation. Environmental and health topics are framed in cost/health/justice terms rather than purity." } }, "measurement_subject": "public_campaign_source_rhetoric", "not_final_measurement": true, "overall_confidence": 0.7, "requires_human_review": true, "source_count": 19, "source_role_counts": { "campaign_or_program_source": 5, "candidate_transcript_segment": 12, "record_event_source": 2 }, "source_word_count": 28354 }, "promise_action_assessments": [ { "action_date": "2010-2026", "action_index": 0, "action_sources": [ { "label": "Tom Steyer campaign biography", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/about-tom" }, { "label": "Tom Steyer climate issue page", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/issues/climate" } ], "action_title": "Funded and organized climate advocacy rather than holding legislative or executive office", "confidence": 0.25, "explanation": "The promise and action share only a broad issue bucket; no directional relationship is inferred.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Steyer campaign issues", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/issues" }, { "label": "Steyer housing issue page", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/issues/housing" } ], "promise_text": "Make corporations and billionaires pay more, including targeting commercial-property tax loopholes.", "relationship": "issue_match_only", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Steyer campaign issues", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/issues" }, { "label": "Steyer housing issue page", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/issues/housing" }, { "label": "Tom Steyer campaign biography", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/about-tom" }, { "label": "Tom Steyer climate issue page", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/issues/climate" } ] } ], "promise_outcomes": [ { "assessment": "Aligned advocacy; no officeholder implementation record", "attribution": { "description": "The candidate funded, organized, or advocated for a policy without holding the office that could directly enact it.", "key": "outside_advocacy", "label": "Outside advocacy / financing", "score": 0.35 }, "confidence": "medium", "fulfillment_criteria": "Spend, organize, or campaign for climate policy even without elected office; do not score as official implementation unless he holds office.", "later_evidence": "American Presidency Project preserves his 2020 climate plan; current campaign biography describes NextGen and climate advocacy record.", "made_when": "2020 presidential campaign and long-running climate advocacy", "promise": "Put climate at the center of political action.", "sources": [ { "label": "American Presidency Project: Steyer climate plan release", "url": "https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/steyer-campaign-press-release-tom-steyer-pledges-declare-the-climate-crisis-national" }, { "label": "Tom Steyer campaign biography", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/about-tom" }, { "label": "Tom Steyer climate issue page", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/issues/climate" } ] } ], "record_events": [ { "attribution": { "description": "The candidate funded, organized, or advocated for a policy without holding the office that could directly enact it.", "key": "outside_advocacy", "label": "Outside advocacy / financing", "score": 0.35 }, "date": "2010-2026", "issue": "climate", "kind": "outside advocacy", "personal_responsibility": "High for spending and organization-building choices; low-to-moderate for policy outcomes because public votes and officeholders enact policy.", "role": "Climate advocate / donor", "sources": [ { "label": "Tom Steyer campaign biography", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/about-tom" }, { "label": "Tom Steyer climate issue page", "url": "https://www.tomsteyer.com/issues/climate" } ], "summary": "His campaign biography and climate page describe NextGen/Climate advocacy, ballot-measure work, and climate-focused political spending.", "title": "Funded and organized climate advocacy rather than holding legislative or executive office" } ], "schema_version": "llm-static-exports/v1", "source_corpus": { "comparable_event_count": 15, "comparable_word_count": 32800, "event_count": 15, "events": [ { "event_id": "event-2026-05-29-calmatters-governor-q-and-a-transcripts", "priority": "high", "publication_date": "2026-05-29", "source_url": "https://calmatters.org/california-voter-guide-2026/governor/videos/transcripts/", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-structured/2026-05-26/text/event-2026-05-29-calmatters-governor-q-and-a-transcripts/tom-steyer.txt", "title": "CalMatters Governor Q&A Transcripts", "word_count": 2002 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-05-28-kqed-tom-steyer-governor-town-hall", "priority": "high", "publication_date": "2026-05-28", "source_url": "https://www.pbssocal.org/shows/california-gubernatorial-election-town-hall-2026/episodes/tom-steyer-zrvnio", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-web/2026-05-26/text/event-2026-05-28-kqed-tom-steyer-governor-town-hall.txt", "title": "KQED / PBS SoCal California Gubernatorial Election Town Hall: Tom Steyer", "word_count": 9259 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-05-18-axios-taxes-climate-candidate-qa", "priority": "medium", "publication_date": "2026-05-18", "source_url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/18/california-governor-primary-taxes-greenhouse-gas-emissions", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-18-axios-taxes-climate-candidate-qa/tom-steyer.txt", "title": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: taxes and greenhouse gas goals", "word_count": 82 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-05-15-axios-homelessness-candidate-qa", "priority": "high", "publication_date": "2026-05-15", "source_url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/15/california-governor-race-encampments-housing-mental-health", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-15-axios-homelessness-candidate-qa/tom-steyer.txt", "title": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: homelessness plans", "word_count": 68 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-05-14-cbs-sf-examiner-governor-debate", "priority": "critical", "publication_date": "2026-05-14", "source_url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/live-updates/2026-california-governors-race-primary-debate-bay-area/", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-cbs-sf-examiner-governor-debate/tom-steyer.txt", "title": "CBS News California / San Francisco Examiner gubernatorial debate", "word_count": 2556 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa", "priority": "high", "publication_date": "2026-05-14", "source_url": "https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2026/05/14/june-2-primary-california-gas-electricity-affordability", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-14-axios-energy-costs-candidate-qa/tom-steyer.txt", "title": "Axios San Diego candidate Q&A: lowering gas and energy bills", "word_count": 122 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-05-08-ezra-klein-california-governor-housing-forum", "priority": "high", "publication_date": "2026-05-08", "source_url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6HETwu7Kfu8", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-08-ezra-klein-california-governor-housing-forum/tom-steyer.txt", "title": "Ezra Klein California Governor Housing Forum", "word_count": 2482 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-05-06-nbc4-telemundo52-governor-debate", "priority": "high", "publication_date": "2026-05-06", "source_url": "https://www.nbclosangeles.com/news/local/watch-la-mayor-california-governor-debate-nbcla/3887402/", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-05-06-nbc4-telemundo52-governor-debate/tom-steyer.txt", "title": 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"program_word_count": 20432, "source_catalog_path": "data/source-catalog/ca-governor-2026-comparable-events.json", "source_count": 29, "word_count": 53232 }, "summary_layers": [ { "confidence": 0.68, "items": [], "label": null, "layer_type": "current_program", "status": "active_campaign_platform_seed", "summary": "Progressive affordability-plus-climate campaign: build housing, tax corporations and billionaires more, lower utility and fuel costs, abolish/limit ICE activity, expand education and health care, and defend climate policy." }, { "confidence": 0.76, "items": [], "label": null, "layer_type": "finance", "status": "matched", "summary": "Deduped CAL-ACCESS candidate-committee receipts plus outside independent-expenditure money in the current mart snapshot." }, { "confidence": 0.62, "items": [], "label": null, "layer_type": "prediction_markets", "status": "snapshot", "summary": "Market-implied expectations at snapshot time. This is not polling and not an endorsement." }, { "confidence": 0.9, "items": [], "label": null, "layer_type": "source_corpus", "status": "source_backed", "summary": "Per-candidate debate/forum/interview segments plus campaign/program source snapshots feeding claim extraction, pairwise matching, and MFQ-2 rhetoric judgment." }, { "confidence": 0.66, "items": [], "label": null, "layer_type": "claim_network", "status": "accepted_model_generated", "summary": "Extracted source claims and model-kept cross-candidate claim relationships. These are not human-reviewed editorial findings." } ] }