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Prefer the linked JSON/JSONL companion files for retrieval." ], "links": { "app_claim_network": "https://polit.pages.dev/app/?view=network&candidate=tony-k-thurmond", "app_profile": "https://polit.pages.dev/app/?view=profile&candidate=tony-k-thurmond", "claim_evidence_jsonl": "https://polit.pages.dev/llm/evidence/candidates/tony-k-thurmond-claims.jsonl", "json": "https://polit.pages.dev/llm/candidates/tony-k-thurmond.json", "markdown": "https://polit.pages.dev/llm/candidates/tony-k-thurmond.md" }, "markets": { "general_winner": 0.0025, "interpretation_warning": "Prediction-market prices are market-implied expectations from one venue at one snapshot time. They are not polling, endorsements, facts, or guarantees.", "markets": [ { "liquidity": 160558.6656, "price": 0.0025, "type": "general_election_winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", "volume_24h": 29254.051832999994 }, { "liquidity": 9896.80919, "price": 0.0025, "type": "primary_top_two_advance", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-advance-from-the-california-governor-primary", "volume_24h": 0.0 }, { "liquidity": 12687.09899, "price": 0.0005, "type": "primary_first_place", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-primary-election-first-place", "volume_24h": 0.0 } ], "primary_first_place": 0.0005, "snapshot_at": "2026-06-02T07:33:48.307877+00:00", "source_artifact_path": "data/processed/prediction-markets/2026-06-02/ca_governor_polymarket.json", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", "top_two_advance": 0.0025, "venue": "polymarket" }, "moral_llm_judge": { "candidate": "Tony K. Thurmond", "coverage_notes": "Substantive rhetoric is primarily from sources tony-k--thurmond-s1 (campaign priorities) and the two debate transcript excerpts (tony-k--thurmond-s10, tony-k--thurmond-s11). Sources tony-k--thurmond-s2 through tony-k--thurmond-s9 are CAPTCHA/interstitial text and contain no usable campaign/record rhetoric for moral-foundation scoring.", "foundation_scores": { "authority": { "confidence": 0.45, "evidence": [ { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Only modest direct signal toward institutional/law framing in the provided excerpts.", "quote": "passed a legislation", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" } ], "high_pole_label": "Legitimate authority, hierarchy, law, and social order", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Anti-bureaucratic/process-speed framing rather than respect-for-procedure or law-and-order moralization.", "quote": "Let's expedite the permitting.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" }, { "citation": { "label": "CBS California / Pomona College Governor's Debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-28-cbs-california-pomona-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ikN8crwsFM", "word_count": 986 }, "explanation": "The excerpt foregrounds practical limits/competence questions, not moralized deference to authority or order.", "quote": "What authority do you think that the governor has for you to make that promise", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11" } ], "low_pole_label": "Non-authority or anti-bureaucratic framing", "score": 0.2, "supporting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Invokes formal lawmaking/legislation in a rule-setting way (though primarily protective rather than law-and-order).", "quote": "that's why I passed a legislation that keeps ICE out of our schools and out of our hospitals.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" } ], "uncertainty": "The excerpts rarely moralize social order, obedience, or institutional legitimacy; mentions of legislation/governor authority are mostly instrumental to policy goals. Several other sources are CAPTCHA text and add no evidence." }, "care": { "confidence": 0.7, "evidence": [ { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Moralized care/rights-to-care framing.", "quote": "we know that healthcare is a right.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Aid/relief framing for harmed communities.", "quote": "raised hundreds of thousands of dollars to help the victims of those fires get money for uh temporary housing, um, gas cards, uh, food, books, water, clothes, you name it.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" }, { "citation": { "label": "CBS California / Pomona College Governor's Debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-28-cbs-california-pomona-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ikN8crwsFM", "word_count": 986 }, "explanation": "Care framing via hardship and need.", "quote": "I know what it's like to grow up in a household without food and on public assistance.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11" } ], "high_pole_label": "Care / harm protection", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "snapshot_sha256": "56fd45855233fa9868e029fde1b4120736e38cdc7213818a0cfd35a9a24761bd", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s1", "source_role": "campaign_or_program_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-tonythurmond-com-priorities-56fd45855233.txt", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities", "word_count": 371 }, "explanation": "Shifts toward cost-of-living/affordability framing that is more economic/technocratic than explicit compassion or harm prevention.", "quote": "Promote Affordability Provide a tax credit to provide Californians with more money each month to pay for the rising costs of gas, groceries, and housing", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s1" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Highly logistical delivery framing rather than direct harm/suffering rhetoric.", "quote": "That means if we on average for every uh surplus property parcel that exists built on average 12 units we will get to 2.3 million units by the year 2030.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" } ], "low_pole_label": "Impersonal or non-care framing", "score": 0.75, "supporting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Uses personal hardship and material deprivation to frame policy around helping those who struggle.", "quote": "I grew up in a household where we often didn't have food.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Explicit harm/safety framing about fear of seeking medical care.", "quote": "people are afraid to even see a doctor.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Directly moralizes health care as a protective right.", "quote": "we know that healthcare is a right.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Explicit compassion/concern for disaster-impacted people.", "quote": "our hearts go out to the folks in the Palisades in Pasadena and Aladena.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Concrete aid/relief language centered on victims' needs.", "quote": "raised hundreds of thousands of dollars to help the victims of those fires get money for uh temporary housing, um, gas cards, uh, food, books, water, clothes, you name it.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" }, { "citation": { "label": "CBS California / Pomona College Governor's Debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-28-cbs-california-pomona-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ikN8crwsFM", "word_count": 986 }, "explanation": "Reinforces care framing via lived experience of poverty.", "quote": "I know what it's like to grow up in a household without food and on public assistance.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11" } ], "uncertainty": "Care rhetoric is strong in the debate excerpts (health care as a right; disaster victims), but much of the remaining corpus is affordability and implementation detail; several non-debate sources are CAPTCHA text and provide no usable rhetoric." }, "equality": { "confidence": 0.6, "evidence": [ { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Highlights unequal impact by race.", "quote": "disproportionately black and brown people have been displaced", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" }, { "citation": { "label": "CBS California / Pomona College Governor's Debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-28-cbs-california-pomona-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ikN8crwsFM", "word_count": 986 }, "explanation": "Explicit equality/leveling rhetoric.", "quote": "education is the greatest equalizer there is.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11" } ], "high_pole_label": "Equal treatment and equal outcomes", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "CBS California / Pomona College Governor's Debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-28-cbs-california-pomona-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ikN8crwsFM", "word_count": 986 }, "explanation": "Administrative/structural funding explanation without explicit equal-standing language.", "quote": "Schools get their revenue based on attendance.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11" }, { "citation": { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "snapshot_sha256": "56fd45855233fa9868e029fde1b4120736e38cdc7213818a0cfd35a9a24761bd", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s1", "source_role": "campaign_or_program_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-tonythurmond-com-priorities-56fd45855233.txt", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities", "word_count": 371 }, "explanation": "Universal housing supply framing that is not explicitly about discrimination, equity, or equal standing.", "quote": "Build 2 million affordable housing units using the surplus property owned by school districts in each of the 58 counties in our state", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s1" } ], "low_pole_label": "Non-equality or pragmatic framing", "score": 0.5, "supporting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Names racially disparate impacts as a core problem.", "quote": "disproportionately black and brown people have been displaced", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Explicit equal-opportunity/equal-access framing focused on barriers.", "quote": "It's not an achievement gap. Our kids can achieve, but there are barriers in their way, and we have to remove those barriers.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" }, { "citation": { "label": "CBS California / Pomona College Governor's Debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-28-cbs-california-pomona-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ikN8crwsFM", "word_count": 986 }, "explanation": "Directly frames education as equalizing unequal life chances.", "quote": "education is the greatest equalizer there is.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11" } ], "uncertainty": "Equality rhetoric appears in a few clear lines (racial disparity; 'equalizer'; barriers), but much of the material emphasizes broad 'for all' or program delivery without explicit equity/rights/discrimination framing. Several listed sources are CAPTCHA pages with no substantive content." }, "loyalty": { "confidence": 0.55, "evidence": [ { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Clear group-solidarity language.", "quote": "Big shout out to all the teachers and educators who've been working so hard to help our kids.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" }, { "citation": { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "snapshot_sha256": "56fd45855233fa9868e029fde1b4120736e38cdc7213818a0cfd35a9a24761bd", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s1", "source_role": "campaign_or_program_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-tonythurmond-com-priorities-56fd45855233.txt", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities", "word_count": 371 }, "explanation": "Names a protected in-group/community.", "quote": "Defend California’s Immigrant Communities", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s1" } ], "high_pole_label": "Group solidarity / betrayal", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "snapshot_sha256": "56fd45855233fa9868e029fde1b4120736e38cdc7213818a0cfd35a9a24761bd", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s1", "source_role": "campaign_or_program_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-tonythurmond-com-priorities-56fd45855233.txt", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities", "word_count": 371 }, "explanation": "Universal 'for all' framing deemphasizes in-group boundaries.", "quote": "Expand Health Care and Education for All", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s1" }, { "citation": { "label": "CBS California / Pomona College Governor's Debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-28-cbs-california-pomona-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ikN8crwsFM", "word_count": 986 }, "explanation": "Universal opportunity frame rather than in-group allegiance.", "quote": "everyone should have the opportunity.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11" } ], "low_pole_label": "Universal or individual framing", "score": 0.35, "supporting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Affiliative solidarity with a named group (teachers/educators).", "quote": "Big shout out to all the teachers and educators who've been working so hard to help our kids.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Identity-by-experience alignment with economically struggling people (solidarity-through-shared-background rhetoric).", "quote": "I grew up on the free lunch program. I grew up on food stamps and a whole lot of government cheese.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" } ], "uncertainty": "Some group-solidarity language appears (teachers, immigrant communities), but much of the rhetoric is broad/universal ('for all') rather than strong in-group vs out-group moralization; evidence is drawn mainly from debate excerpts and one priorities page." }, "proportionality": { "confidence": 0.55, "evidence": [ { "citation": { "label": "CBS California / Pomona College Governor's Debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-28-cbs-california-pomona-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ikN8crwsFM", "word_count": 986 }, "explanation": "Clear deservedness/accountability signal.", "quote": "Where I come from, when you do a bad job, you don't get a raise.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Reciprocity/contribution language supporting proportionality.", "quote": "work hard and pay taxes and contribute to the American dream for all of us.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" } ], "high_pole_label": "Rewards, penalties, and duties proportional to merit or contribution", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Broad relief framing not conditioned on merit, contribution, cheating, or punishment.", "quote": "On day one, I'm going to give all of you a tax credit so you have a few hundred a month more in your pocket to help you pay for the high costs of groceries, of gas, and housing.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" }, { "citation": { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "snapshot_sha256": "56fd45855233fa9868e029fde1b4120736e38cdc7213818a0cfd35a9a24761bd", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s1", "source_role": "campaign_or_program_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-tonythurmond-com-priorities-56fd45855233.txt", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities", "word_count": 371 }, "explanation": "Universal-benefit framing without proportional/desert language in the excerpt.", "quote": "Establish a single-payer health care system", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s1" } ], "low_pole_label": "Non-proportional or pragmatic framing", "score": 0.35, "supporting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "CBS California / Pomona College Governor's Debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-28-cbs-california-pomona-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ikN8crwsFM", "word_count": 986 }, "explanation": "Direct deservedness/earned-reward framing (no reward for poor performance).", "quote": "Where I come from, when you do a bad job, you don't get a raise.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s11" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Reiterates proportionality logic tied to accountability.", "quote": "Where I come from, you don't get a raise when you do a bad job.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Reciprocity/contribution framing (working, paying taxes, contributing) as warrant for inclusion.", "quote": "we have to create a real path for citizenship for those who want nothing more than to work hard and pay taxes and contribute to the American dream for all of us.", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" } ], "uncertainty": "Proportionality is present but not dominant; it concentrates in a few accountability/earned-reward lines and contribution-based immigration framing, while much of the corpus stresses universal programs and affordability without explicit deservedness." }, "purity": { "confidence": 0.6, "evidence": [], "high_pole_label": "Purity, sacredness, contamination, or degradation", "limiting_examples": [ { "citation": { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "snapshot_sha256": "56fd45855233fa9868e029fde1b4120736e38cdc7213818a0cfd35a9a24761bd", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s1", "source_role": "campaign_or_program_source", "text_path": "data/processed/source-snapshots/2026-05-26/text/www-tonythurmond-com-priorities-56fd45855233.txt", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities", "word_count": 371 }, "explanation": "Policy/material framing with no purity/sacredness/contamination language.", "quote": "Build More Housing", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s1" }, { "citation": { "label": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "snapshot_sha256": null, "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10", "source_role": "candidate_transcript_segment", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "word_count": 2067 }, "explanation": "Economic relief framing; no bodily/sacredness/pollution moralization.", "quote": "I'm going to give all of you a tax credit", "source_id": "tony-k--thurmond-s10" } ], "low_pole_label": "Secular or material policy framing", "score": 0.0, "supporting_examples": [], "uncertainty": "No direct purity/sacredness/contamination/degradation or explicit religious/holy-body framing appears in the supplied excerpts; content is primarily economic, social services, and governance." } }, "measurement_subject": "public_campaign_source_rhetoric", "not_final_measurement": true, "overall_confidence": 0.62, "requires_human_review": true, "source_count": 11, "source_role_counts": { "campaign_or_program_source": 1, "candidate_transcript_segment": 2, "executive_performance_source": 2, "record_event_source": 6 }, "source_word_count": 4248 }, "promise_action_assessments": [ { "action_date": "2019-", "action_index": 5, "action_sources": [ { "label": "California Department of Education: Superintendent initiatives", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/eo/in" } ], "action_title": "Launched or promoted statewide education initiatives through CDE", "confidence": 0.5, "explanation": "The promise and prior action share the housing_affordability frame. The action is supportive on its face, but this is a review seed, not a fulfillment finding.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "California official voter guide candidate statements", "url": "https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/candidates/governor-candidate-statements.htm" } ], "promise_text": "Provide tax credits or direct relief to help Californians with gas, groceries, and housing costs.", "relationship": "consistent_prior_record", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "California official voter guide candidate statements", "url": "https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/candidates/governor-candidate-statements.htm" }, { "label": "California Department of Education: Superintendent initiatives", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/eo/in" } ] }, { "action_date": "2019-", "action_index": 5, "action_sources": [ { "label": "California Department of Education: Superintendent initiatives", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/eo/in" } ], "action_title": "Launched or promoted statewide education initiatives through CDE", "confidence": 0.58, "explanation": "The promise and prior action share the education_access, housing_affordability frame. The action is supportive on its face, but this is a review seed, not a fulfillment finding.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign biography", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/meet-tony" }, { "label": "Thurmond school-services accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/school-services" }, { "label": "California official voter guide candidate statements", "url": "https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/candidates/governor-candidate-statements.htm" } ], "promise_text": "Build 2 million affordable housing units using surplus school-district land, redevelopment funding, down-payment grants, a housing bond, and fees on large speculators.", "relationship": "consistent_prior_record", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign biography", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/meet-tony" }, { "label": "Thurmond school-services accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/school-services" }, { "label": "California official voter guide candidate statements", "url": "https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/candidates/governor-candidate-statements.htm" }, { "label": "California Department of Education: Superintendent initiatives", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/eo/in" } ] }, { "action_date": "2026-04-21", "action_index": 1, "action_sources": [ { "label": "California Department of Education healthcare cost workgroup release", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel22.asp" } ], "action_title": "Announced TK-12 education healthcare cost workgroup", "confidence": 0.5, "explanation": "The promise and prior action share the education_access frame. The action is supportive on its face, but this is a review seed, not a fulfillment finding.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "Thurmond school-services accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/school-services" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/accomplishments" } ], "promise_text": "Lead a five-year plan for every California student to read by third grade while expanding preschool, school meals, counselors, and youth support.", "relationship": "consistent_prior_record", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "Thurmond school-services accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/school-services" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/accomplishments" }, { "label": "California Department of Education healthcare cost workgroup release", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel22.asp" } ] }, { "action_date": "2026-01-08", "action_index": 4, "action_sources": [ { "label": "CDE Literacy Moonshot announcement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel01.asp" } ], "action_title": "Announced a five-year Literacy Moonshot plan", "confidence": 0.5, "explanation": "The promise and prior action share the education_access frame. The action is supportive on its face, but this is a review seed, not a fulfillment finding.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "Thurmond school-services accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/school-services" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/accomplishments" } ], "promise_text": "Lead a five-year plan for every California student to read by third grade while expanding preschool, school meals, counselors, and youth support.", "relationship": "consistent_prior_record", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "Thurmond school-services accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/school-services" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/accomplishments" }, { "label": "CDE Literacy Moonshot announcement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel01.asp" } ] }, { "action_date": "2026-03-02", "action_index": 2, "action_sources": [ { "label": "CDE high school redesign announcement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel09.asp" } ], "action_title": "Announced high school redesign work aligned with XQ Institute report", "confidence": 0.5, "explanation": "The promise and prior action share the education_access frame. The action is supportive on its face, but this is a review seed, not a fulfillment finding.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "Thurmond school-services accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/school-services" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/accomplishments" } ], "promise_text": "Lead a five-year plan for every California student to read by third grade while expanding preschool, school meals, counselors, and youth support.", "relationship": "consistent_prior_record", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "Thurmond school-services accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/school-services" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/accomplishments" }, { "label": "CDE high school redesign announcement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel09.asp" } ] }, { "action_date": "2026-01-09", "action_index": 3, "action_sources": [ { "label": "CDE 2026-27 budget proposal statement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel02.asp" } ], "action_title": "Issued statement tying proposed budget investments to education priorities", "confidence": 0.33, "explanation": "The promise and action share the education_access frame, but the action direction is unclear.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "Thurmond school-services accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/school-services" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/accomplishments" } ], "promise_text": "Lead a five-year plan for every California student to read by third grade while expanding preschool, school meals, counselors, and youth support.", "relationship": "related_record_needs_review", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "Thurmond school-services accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/school-services" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/accomplishments" }, { "label": "CDE 2026-27 budget proposal statement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel02.asp" } ] }, { "action_date": "2026-05-08", "action_index": 0, "action_sources": [ { "label": "CDE personal finance education rollout update", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel28.asp" } ], "action_title": "Highlighted personal finance education rollout ahead of schedule", "confidence": 0.5, "explanation": "The promise and prior action share the education_access frame. The action is supportive on its face, but this is a review seed, not a fulfillment finding.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "Thurmond school-services accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/school-services" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/accomplishments" } ], "promise_text": "Lead a five-year plan for every California student to read by third grade while expanding preschool, school meals, counselors, and youth support.", "relationship": "consistent_prior_record", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "Thurmond school-services accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/school-services" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign accomplishments page", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/accomplishments" }, { "label": "CDE personal finance education rollout update", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel28.asp" } ] }, { "action_date": "2026-04-21", "action_index": 1, "action_sources": [ { "label": "California Department of Education healthcare cost workgroup release", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel22.asp" } ], "action_title": "Announced TK-12 education healthcare cost workgroup", "confidence": 0.25, "explanation": "The promise and action share only a broad issue bucket; no directional relationship is inferred.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" } ], "promise_text": "Create universal child care, pilot free four-year UC or CSU degrees, and use low-cost loans and job programs to help small businesses and workers.", "relationship": "issue_match_only", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "California Department of Education healthcare cost workgroup release", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel22.asp" } ] }, { "action_date": "2026-05-08", "action_index": 0, "action_sources": [ { "label": "CDE personal finance education rollout update", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel28.asp" } ], "action_title": "Highlighted personal finance education rollout ahead of schedule", "confidence": 0.25, "explanation": "The promise and action share only a broad issue bucket; no directional relationship is inferred.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" } ], "promise_text": "Create universal child care, pilot free four-year UC or CSU degrees, and use low-cost loans and job programs to help small businesses and workers.", "relationship": "issue_match_only", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "CDE personal finance education rollout update", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel28.asp" } ] }, { "action_date": "2026-01-09", "action_index": 3, "action_sources": [ { "label": "CDE 2026-27 budget proposal statement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel02.asp" } ], "action_title": "Issued statement tying proposed budget investments to education priorities", "confidence": 0.25, "explanation": "The promise and action share only a broad issue bucket; no directional relationship is inferred.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" } ], "promise_text": "Create universal child care, pilot free four-year UC or CSU degrees, and use low-cost loans and job programs to help small businesses and workers.", "relationship": "issue_match_only", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "CDE 2026-27 budget proposal statement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel02.asp" } ] }, { "action_date": "2026-03-02", "action_index": 2, "action_sources": [ { "label": "CDE high school redesign announcement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel09.asp" } ], "action_title": "Announced high school redesign work aligned with XQ Institute report", "confidence": 0.25, "explanation": "The promise and action share only a broad issue bucket; no directional relationship is inferred.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" } ], "promise_text": "Create universal child care, pilot free four-year UC or CSU degrees, and use low-cost loans and job programs to help small businesses and workers.", "relationship": "issue_match_only", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "CDE high school redesign announcement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel09.asp" } ] }, { "action_date": "2026-01-08", "action_index": 4, "action_sources": [ { "label": "CDE Literacy Moonshot announcement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel01.asp" } ], "action_title": "Announced a five-year Literacy Moonshot plan", "confidence": 0.5, "explanation": "The promise and prior action share the childcare_expansion frame. The action is supportive on its face, but this is a review seed, not a fulfillment finding.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" } ], "promise_text": "Create universal child care, pilot free four-year UC or CSU degrees, and use low-cost loans and job programs to help small businesses and workers.", "relationship": "consistent_prior_record", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "Thurmond campaign priorities", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/priorities" }, { "label": "CDE Literacy Moonshot announcement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel01.asp" } ] }, { "action_date": "2026-04-21", "action_index": 1, "action_sources": [ { "label": "California Department of Education healthcare cost workgroup release", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel22.asp" } ], "action_title": "Announced TK-12 education healthcare cost workgroup", "confidence": 0.25, "explanation": "The promise and action share only a broad issue bucket; no directional relationship is inferred.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "California official voter guide candidate statements", "url": "https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/candidates/governor-candidate-statements.htm" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign in-the-news policy archive", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/in-the-news" } ], "promise_text": "Abolish ICE and keep immigration enforcement out of California schools.", "relationship": "issue_match_only", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "California official voter guide candidate statements", "url": "https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/candidates/governor-candidate-statements.htm" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign in-the-news policy archive", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/in-the-news" }, { "label": "California Department of Education healthcare cost workgroup release", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel22.asp" } ] }, { "action_date": "2026-03-02", "action_index": 2, "action_sources": [ { "label": "CDE high school redesign announcement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel09.asp" } ], "action_title": "Announced high school redesign work aligned with XQ Institute report", "confidence": 0.25, "explanation": "The promise and action share only a broad issue bucket; no directional relationship is inferred.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "California official voter guide candidate statements", "url": "https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/candidates/governor-candidate-statements.htm" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign in-the-news policy archive", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/in-the-news" } ], "promise_text": "Abolish ICE and keep immigration enforcement out of California schools.", "relationship": "issue_match_only", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "California official voter guide candidate statements", "url": "https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/candidates/governor-candidate-statements.htm" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign in-the-news policy archive", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/in-the-news" }, { "label": "CDE high school redesign announcement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel09.asp" } ] }, { "action_date": "2026-01-09", "action_index": 3, "action_sources": [ { "label": "CDE 2026-27 budget proposal statement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel02.asp" } ], "action_title": "Issued statement tying proposed budget investments to education priorities", "confidence": 0.25, "explanation": "The promise and action share only a broad issue bucket; no directional relationship is inferred.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "California official voter guide candidate statements", "url": "https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/candidates/governor-candidate-statements.htm" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign in-the-news policy archive", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/in-the-news" } ], "promise_text": "Abolish ICE and keep immigration enforcement out of California schools.", "relationship": "issue_match_only", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "California official voter guide candidate statements", "url": "https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/candidates/governor-candidate-statements.htm" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign in-the-news policy archive", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/in-the-news" }, { "label": "CDE 2026-27 budget proposal statement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel02.asp" } ] }, { "action_date": "2026-05-08", "action_index": 0, "action_sources": [ { "label": "CDE personal finance education rollout update", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel28.asp" } ], "action_title": "Highlighted personal finance education rollout ahead of schedule", "confidence": 0.25, "explanation": "The promise and action share only a broad issue bucket; no directional relationship is inferred.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "California official voter guide candidate statements", "url": "https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/candidates/governor-candidate-statements.htm" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign in-the-news policy archive", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/in-the-news" } ], "promise_text": "Abolish ICE and keep immigration enforcement out of California schools.", "relationship": "issue_match_only", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "California official voter guide candidate statements", "url": "https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/candidates/governor-candidate-statements.htm" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign in-the-news policy archive", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/in-the-news" }, { "label": "CDE personal finance education rollout update", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel28.asp" } ] }, { "action_date": "2026-01-08", "action_index": 4, "action_sources": [ { "label": "CDE Literacy Moonshot announcement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel01.asp" } ], "action_title": "Announced a five-year Literacy Moonshot plan", "confidence": 0.25, "explanation": "The promise and action share only a broad issue bucket; no directional relationship is inferred.", "method": "keyword_direction_seed_v1", "not_final_assessment": true, "promise_id": null, "promise_sources": [ { "label": "California official voter guide candidate statements", "url": "https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/candidates/governor-candidate-statements.htm" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign in-the-news policy archive", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/in-the-news" } ], "promise_text": "Abolish ICE and keep immigration enforcement out of California schools.", "relationship": "issue_match_only", "review_status": "unreviewed", "sources": [ { "label": "California official voter guide candidate statements", "url": "https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/candidates/governor-candidate-statements.htm" }, { "label": "Thurmond campaign in-the-news policy archive", "url": "https://www.tonythurmond.com/in-the-news" }, { "label": "CDE Literacy Moonshot announcement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel01.asp" } ] } ], "promise_outcomes": [ { "assessment": "Aligned action; outcome not yet scored", "attribution": { "description": "The candidate personally held an executive office with formal authority over the agency, budget, litigation, or policy direction.", "key": "direct_executive", "label": "Direct executive authority", "score": 0.9 }, "confidence": "medium", "fulfillment_criteria": "Launch programs, workgroups, guidance, or budget requests and later compare against student-outcome indicators.", "later_evidence": "CDE lists Superintendent initiatives including literacy; outcome comparison still needs statewide assessment and district implementation data.", "made_when": "Superintendent policy agenda", "promise": "Improve literacy and student outcomes through statewide education initiatives.", "sources": [ { "label": "California Department of Education: Superintendent initiatives", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/eo/in" } ] } ], "record_events": [ { "attribution": { "description": "The candidate personally held an executive office with formal authority over the agency, budget, litigation, or policy direction.", "key": "direct_executive", "label": "Direct executive authority", "score": 0.9 }, "date": "2019-", "issue": "education", "kind": "state education administration", "personal_responsibility": "Moderate-to-high for superintendent initiatives and agency convening; many outcomes depend on districts, the Legislature, and funding.", "role": "State Superintendent of Public Instruction", "sources": [ { "label": "California Department of Education: Superintendent initiatives", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/eo/in" } ], "summary": "CDE lists Superintendent initiatives including literacy, housing, and other K-12 policy priorities.", "title": "Launched or promoted statewide education initiatives through CDE" }, { "attribution": { "description": "The candidate personally held an executive office with formal authority over the agency, budget, litigation, or policy direction.", "key": "direct_executive", "label": "Direct executive authority", "score": 0.9 }, "date": "2026-04-21", "issue": "education workforce costs", "kind": "agency convening", "personal_responsibility": "High for convening the workgroup; policy adoption depends on later recommendations, bargaining, budget, and legislation.", "role": "State Superintendent of Public Instruction", "sources": [ { "label": "California Department of Education healthcare cost workgroup release", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel22.asp" } ], "summary": "CDE announced a workgroup to develop policy solutions around rising healthcare costs for California school districts.", "title": "Announced TK-12 education healthcare cost workgroup" }, { "attribution": { "description": "The candidate personally held an executive office with formal authority over the agency, budget, litigation, or policy direction.", "key": "direct_executive", "label": "Direct executive authority", "score": 0.9 }, "date": "2026-01-08", "issue": "literacy", "kind": "agency proposal", "personal_responsibility": "High for sponsoring and announcing the plan; funding and statewide outcomes depend on the Governor, Legislature, districts, and implementation.", "role": "State Superintendent of Public Instruction", "sources": [ { "label": "CDE Literacy Moonshot announcement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel01.asp" } ], "summary": "CDE announced Thurmond's five-year plan to close the third-grade literacy gap, including dyslexia screening, tutoring, family engagement, and teacher training.", "title": "Announced a five-year Literacy Moonshot plan" }, { "attribution": { "description": "The candidate made a public claim or position statement without a matched official action yet.", "key": "public_statement", "label": "Public statement only", "score": 0.15 }, "date": "2026-01-09", "issue": "education budget", "kind": "budget statement", "personal_responsibility": "Direct for the public position; budget enactment and implementation depend on other state actors.", "role": "State Superintendent of Public Instruction", "sources": [ { "label": "CDE 2026-27 budget proposal statement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel02.asp" } ], "summary": "CDE published Thurmond's statement supporting proposed investments in community schools, expanded learning, transitional kindergarten, literacy coaches, and reading-difficulty screening.", "title": "Issued statement tying proposed budget investments to education priorities" }, { "attribution": { "description": "The candidate made a public claim or position statement without a matched official action yet.", "key": "shared_executive", "label": "Public statement only", "score": 0.15 }, "date": "2026-05-08", "issue": "financial education", "kind": "implementation update", "personal_responsibility": "Shared: Thurmond supported and promoted the rollout, while AB 2927, the State Board, districts, and educators drive implementation.", "role": "State Superintendent of Public Instruction", "sources": [ { "label": "CDE personal finance education rollout update", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel28.asp" } ], "summary": "CDE said implementation of AB 2927, supported by Thurmond, was ahead of schedule after State Board adoption of the curriculum guide.", "title": "Highlighted personal finance education rollout ahead of schedule" }, { "attribution": { "description": "The candidate made a public claim or position statement without a matched official action yet.", "key": "shared_executive", "label": "Public statement only", "score": 0.15 }, "date": "2026-03-02", "issue": "high school redesign", "kind": "agency initiative", "personal_responsibility": "Shared initiative leadership; implementation depends on partners, districts, funding, and later policy decisions.", "role": "State Superintendent of Public Instruction", "sources": [ { "label": "CDE high school redesign announcement", "url": "https://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr26/yr26rel09.asp" } ], "summary": "CDE announced engagement with state and education partners to redesign high school around personalized supports, deeper learning, and experiential opportunities.", "title": "Announced high school redesign work aligned with XQ Institute report" } ], "schema_version": "llm-static-exports/v1", "source_corpus": { "comparable_event_count": 5, "comparable_word_count": 14077, "event_count": 5, "events": [ { "event_id": "event-2026-05-29-calmatters-governor-q-and-a-transcripts", "priority": "high", "publication_date": "2026-05-29", "source_url": "https://calmatters.org/california-voter-guide-2026/governor/videos/transcripts/", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-structured/2026-05-26/text/event-2026-05-29-calmatters-governor-q-and-a-transcripts/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "title": "CalMatters Governor Q&A Transcripts", "word_count": 1599 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-04-28-cbs-california-pomona-governor-debate", "priority": "high", "publication_date": "2026-04-28", "source_url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ikN8crwsFM", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-04-28-cbs-california-pomona-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "title": "CBS California / Pomona College Governor's Debate", "word_count": 986 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-04-22-cbs-news-california-candidate-guide", "priority": "high", "publication_date": "2026-04-22", "source_url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/projects/2026/ca-gov-voter-guide/", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-structured/2026-05-26/text/event-2026-04-22-cbs-news-california-candidate-guide/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "title": "CBS News California Governor's Race Candidate Guide", "word_count": 2896 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-03-26-kqed-political-breakdown-tony-thurmond", "priority": "high", "publication_date": "2026-03-26", "source_url": "https://www.pbs.org/video/tony-thurmond-makes-his-case-for-governor-of-california-political-breakdown-zi6asl/", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-web/2026-05-26/text/event-2026-03-26-kqed-political-breakdown-tony-thurmond.txt", "title": "KQED Political Breakdown: Tony Thurmond Makes His Case for Governor of California", "word_count": 6529 }, { "event_id": "event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate", "priority": "high", "publication_date": "2026-02-03", "source_url": "https://www.blackactionalliance.org/events/2026-ca-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-by-black-action-alliance", "text_path": "data/processed/source-corpus-segments/2026-05-26/event-2026-02-03-black-action-alliance-ktvu-kttv-governor-debate/tony-k-thurmond.txt", "title": "Black Action Alliance / KTVU / KTTV California gubernatorial debate", "word_count": 2067 } ], "priority_event_count": 5, "program_source_count": 7, "program_word_count": 9758, "source_catalog_path": "data/source-catalog/ca-governor-2026-comparable-events.json", "source_count": 12, "word_count": 23835 }, "summary_layers": [ { "confidence": 0.72, "items": [], "label": null, "layer_type": "executive_performance", "status": "source_backed_seed", "summary": "Official outcome metrics from executive office records, separated from campaign claims and not treated as causal proof." }, { "confidence": 0.68, "items": [], "label": null, "layer_type": "current_program", "status": "active_campaign_platform_seed", "summary": "Education-and-working-family Democrat: affordability, tax credits, education investment, housing on public/school land, and standing up to billionaires/federal pressure." }, { "confidence": 0.76, "items": [], "label": null, "layer_type": "finance", "status": "matched", "summary": "Deduped CAL-ACCESS candidate-committee receipts plus outside independent-expenditure money in the current mart snapshot." }, { "confidence": 0.62, "items": [], "label": null, "layer_type": "prediction_markets", "status": "snapshot", "summary": "Market-implied expectations at snapshot time. This is not polling and not an endorsement." }, { "confidence": 0.9, "items": [], "label": null, "layer_type": "source_corpus", "status": "source_backed", "summary": "Per-candidate debate/forum/interview segments plus campaign/program source snapshots feeding claim extraction, pairwise matching, and MFQ-2 rhetoric judgment." }, { "confidence": 0.66, "items": [], "label": null, "layer_type": "claim_network", "status": "accepted_model_generated", "summary": "Extracted source claims and model-kept cross-candidate claim relationships. These are not human-reviewed editorial findings." } ] }